SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Brusque had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Brusque win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Goianiense | Draw | Brusque |
59.13% ( -0.15) | 22.44% ( 0.07) | 18.43% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.83% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.43% ( -0.16) | 47.57% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.23% ( -0.14) | 69.77% ( 0.14) |
| Atletico Goianiense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.27% ( -0.1) | 15.73% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.17% ( -0.19) | 44.83% ( 0.19) |
| Brusque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.32% ( 0) | 39.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.64% ( 0) | 76.36% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Goianiense | Draw | Brusque |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 59.12% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 18.43% |
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