Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
-3.06) 
0.84) 
