Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
0.56) 
-0.08) 
