Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
0.77) 
-0.11) 
