SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 45.19%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Platense had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.57%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Platense |
45.19% ( 0.27) | 30.05% ( -0.08) | 24.76% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 38.47% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.26% ( 0.12) | 67.75% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.24% ( 0.08) | 85.76% ( -0.08) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( 0.21) | 30.27% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.56% ( 0.25) | 66.45% ( -0.25) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.17% ( -0.11) | 44.83% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.2% ( -0.09) | 80.8% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 16.21% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.23% Total : 45.18% | 0-0 @ 13.57% ( -0.06) 1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.05% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.72% Total : 24.75% |
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