Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 41.05%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Platense had a probability of 27.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.72%) and 1-2 (7.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.37%), while for a Platense win it was 1-0 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Platense | Draw | Independiente |
27.23% ( -0.57) | 31.73% ( -0.15) | 41.05% ( 0.71) |
Both teams to score 36.3% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
28.88% ( 0.21) | 71.12% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
12.06% ( 0.13) | 87.94% ( -0.13) |
Platense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.39% ( -0.37) | 44.61% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.38% ( -0.3) | 80.62% ( 0.3) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.53% ( 0.56) | 34.47% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.81% ( 0.59) | 71.19% ( -0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Platense | Draw | Independiente |
1-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.68% Total : 27.22% | 0-0 @ 15.37% ( -0.12) 1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 31.72% | 0-1 @ 16.37% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 41.04% |
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