Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 35.97%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.3%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (12.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Platense would win this match.