SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Gimnasia |
54.36% ( 0.25) | 26.64% ( -0.06) | 19% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 40.34% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.96% ( -0.01) | 62.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.24% ( -0.01) | 81.76% ( 0) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% ( 0.11) | 23.11% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.03% ( 0.15) | 56.96% ( -0.16) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.47% ( -0.23) | 47.52% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.12% ( -0.17) | 82.88% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 16.08% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 54.35% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.42% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.23% Total : 19% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
