SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for AVS had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AVS | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.55% ( 0.05) | 27.15% ( 0.01) | 43.3% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.72% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.64% ( -0.03) | 56.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.62% ( -0.02) | 77.38% ( 0.01) |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% ( 0.03) | 34.34% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.96% ( 0.03) | 71.04% ( -0.04) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( -0.05) | 25.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.24% ( -0.06) | 60.76% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| AVS | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.55% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 12% 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.29% |
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