SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Estoril Praia |
61.42% ( 0.14) | 22.33% ( 0.02) | 16.24% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 46.92% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.42% ( -0.36) | 50.58% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.5% ( -0.32) | 72.5% ( 0.32) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84% ( -0.08) | 16% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.69% ( -0.14) | 45.31% ( 0.14) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.86% ( -0.43) | 44.14% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.76% ( -0.36) | 80.24% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 61.42% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.52% Total : 16.24% |
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