SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 47%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | FC Zurich |
47% ( -0.08) | 25.51% ( 0.05) | 27.49% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49% ( -0.16) | 51% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.13% ( -0.14) | 72.86% ( 0.14) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% ( -0.1) | 21.7% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.14% ( -0.16) | 54.86% ( 0.16) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.91% ( -0.06) | 33.09% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.31% ( -0.07) | 69.69% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 47% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 27.49% |
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