SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangkok United win with a probability of 69.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Lion City Sailors had a probability of 12.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangkok United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Lion City Sailors win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bangkok United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bangkok United | Draw | Lion City Sailors |
69.52% ( 1.35) | 17.5% ( -0.53) | 12.98% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 54.83% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.12% ( 0.56) | 35.88% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.04% ( 0.61) | 57.96% ( -0.62) |
| Bangkok United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.7% ( 0.46) | 9.29% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.62% ( 1.09) | 31.37% ( -1.1) |
| Lion City Sailors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.45% ( -0.83) | 39.55% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.76% ( -0.78) | 76.24% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bangkok United | Draw | Lion City Sailors |
| 2-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.53% Total : 69.52% | 1-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.5% | 1-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.69% Total : 12.98% |
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