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League One | Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
CU

Barnsley
2 - 1
Carlisle

Cole (58'), Kane (86' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Armstrong (7')
Armstrong (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-0 Carlisle United

Barnsley have so much quality in the forward positions, and we are expecting the home side to have too much for their opponents on Tuesday night. Cole and McAtee are full of goals, and we are backing at least one of the forwards to score in a home success in this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawCarlisle United
58.35% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 22.49% (0.0019999999999989 0) 19.16% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)46.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)15.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)44.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.61% (0.00099999999999767 0)38.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.85% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.14% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 58.35%
    Carlisle United 19.16%
    Draw 22.49%
BarnsleyDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 58.35%
1-1 @ 10.68%
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.49%
0-1 @ 5.77% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 5.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 19.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Wigan
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-2 Barnsley
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Stevenage
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Port Vale
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 2-0 Carlisle
Friday, December 29 at 7pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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