SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bath City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Torquay United |
44.89% ( -0.19) | 24.85% ( 0.11) | 30.26% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.32% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( -0.46) | 46.68% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( -0.44) | 68.94% ( 0.43) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.15% ( -0.27) | 20.85% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.46% ( -0.43) | 53.54% ( 0.43) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( -0.18) | 28.84% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.3% ( -0.23) | 64.7% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Torquay United |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.66% Total : 44.89% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.26% |
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