SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Bath City win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Bath City |
49.9% ( -0.24) | 25.4% ( 0.1) | 24.7% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.35% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.48% ( -0.26) | 52.51% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.82% ( -0.22) | 74.18% ( 0.22) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( -0.2) | 21.06% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.13% ( -0.32) | 53.87% ( 0.32) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.78% ( -0.01) | 36.21% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27% ( -0.02) | 73% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Bath City |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 49.9% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 24.7% |
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