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National League South | Gameweek 16
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
1 - 0
Bath City

Donnellan (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Torquay United and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hampton 3-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Worthing
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torquay United in this match.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawBath City
52.16% (-0.403 -0.4) 23.57% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 24.27% (0.325 0.32)
Both teams to score 55.62% (0.108 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.67% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)45.34% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.33% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)67.67% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.62% (-0.158 -0.16)17.38% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.21% (-0.282 -0.28)47.79% (0.287 0.29)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.32% (0.261 0.26)32.68% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.77% (0.288 0.29)69.23% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 52.16%
    Bath City 24.27%
    Draw 23.57%
Torquay UnitedDrawBath City
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.7% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 52.16%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.35% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 24.27%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hampton 3-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 3-2 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 5-1 Welling United
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 0-1 Maidstone
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Worthing
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 3-0 Taunton Town
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-2 Bath City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Bath City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Bath City
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South


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