Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Welling United would win this match.
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