SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 57.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
57.66% ( -0.85) | 21.49% ( 0.05) | 20.85% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 58.11% ( 1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.11% ( 0.91) | 39.89% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.75% ( 0.93) | 62.25% ( -0.93) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.37% ( 0.04) | 13.63% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.21% ( 0.08) | 40.79% ( -0.07) |
| Caykur Rizespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.29% ( 1.3) | 32.71% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.73% ( 1.43) | 69.27% ( -1.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.37)2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.39% Total : 57.66% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.17)0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.49% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.38% Total : 20.85% |
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