SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 14.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Besiktas win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Besiktas |
66.5% ( 0.86) | 18.6% ( -0.4) | 14.9% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 56.24% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.36% ( 0.94) | 36.65% ( -0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.2% ( 1.02) | 58.8% ( -1.01) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.78% ( 0.48) | 10.23% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.46% ( 1.08) | 33.54% ( -1.07) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.65% ( 0.01) | 37.35% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.87% ( 0.01) | 74.14% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Besiktas |
| 2-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.1)5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.97% Total : 66.5% | 1-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.6% | 1-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.1% Total : 14.9% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
