SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 75.13%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 9.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 1-2 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
75.13% ( 0.03) | 14.94% ( -0.01) | 9.94% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.16% ( 0.04) | 31.84% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.62% ( 0.04) | 53.38% ( -0.04) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.89% ( 0.02) | 7.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.09% ( 0.04) | 25.91% ( -0.03) |
| Caykur Rizespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.1% ( 0) | 41.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.65% ( 0.01) | 78.35% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2-0 @ 10.41% 3-0 @ 9.17% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.98% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.27% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.79% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.41% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.23% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 3.68% Total : 75.13% | 1-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.98% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.16% Total : 14.94% | 1-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.59% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.14% 0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 9.94% |
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