Despite the form book suggesting that Rennes struggle on the road, we think they will win comfortably here.
The gulf in quality between the Championnat National 2 and Ligue 1 should be telling, and we expect the visitors to end Bordeaux's cup dreams this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
-0.48) 
0.02) 
