As poor as Rennes have been away from Roazhon Park throughout the campaign, Nantes have struggled just as much, if not more so, at home.
Last weekend's big victory should remind Stade Rennais that they boast plenty of quality attacking pieces, which we believe will cause problems for the home team on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.