It has been a frustrating time for Rennes, who like to attack in numbers and press, so we expect to see them let out those frustrations against a helpless Bordeaux side, who allow far too much time and space in their own penalty area.
Not only have Les Girondins struggled tremendously this season, but the banishment of their now former captain Koscielny is an unwelcomed distraction for a side trying to remain in Ligue 1.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 10.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.17%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
