SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
42.05% ( 0.08) | 25.49% ( 0.03) | 32.46% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.18% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.39% ( -0.16) | 48.61% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.27% ( -0.15) | 70.73% ( 0.16) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( -0.03) | 22.99% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.21% ( -0.05) | 56.79% ( 0.05) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( -0.15) | 28.34% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.92% ( -0.19) | 64.08% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.05% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.47% |
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