SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 14.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
66.61% ( -0.03) | 19.29% ( 0.02) | 14.09% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.51% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.24% ( -0.05) | 41.76% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.83% ( -0.05) | 64.16% ( 0.05) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.35% ( -0.03) | 11.64% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.31% ( -0.05) | 36.68% ( 0.05) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.29% ( -0.02) | 41.7% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.82% ( -0.02) | 78.17% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 2-0 @ 11.22% 1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.05% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.86% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 3.71% Total : 66.6% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0)Other @ 1.01% Total : 19.29% | 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.58% Total : 14.09% |
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