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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.33%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
23.71% ( 0.05) | 21.96% ( 0.03) | 54.33% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 60.52% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.45% ( -0.1) | 38.55% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.15% ( -0.11) | 60.85% ( 0.11) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.55% ( -0.01) | 29.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.55% ( -0.02) | 65.45% ( 0.02) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.78% ( -0.06) | 14.22% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.05% ( -0.12) | 41.95% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
| 2-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 23.71% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.33% |
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