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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
EA

Braga
3 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Banza (57' pen.), Bruma (84'), Fernandes (90+3')
Mendes (69'), Banza (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bucca (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 0-4 Braga
Monday, February 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Chaves
Saturday, February 24 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 3-0 Estrela Amadora

While Estrela will be looking to find their feet and pull clear of the danger zone, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a Braga side who appear to have hit their stride once again. Jorge's men are currently firing on all cylinders and we fancy them to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 77.98%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 8.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.42%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
BragaDrawEstrela Amadora
77.98% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 13.99%8.03% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 48.79% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.04% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)33.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.18% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)55.81% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.98% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)7.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.34% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.66% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.48% (0.0010000000000048 0)47.52% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.12% (0.0020000000000024 0)82.88% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Braga 77.97%
    Estrela Amadora 8.03%
    Draw 13.99%
BragaDrawEstrela Amadora
2-0 @ 11.76%
3-0 @ 10.42%
1-0 @ 8.86%
2-1 @ 8.76%
3-1 @ 7.76%
4-0 @ 6.92%
4-1 @ 5.15%
5-0 @ 3.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.89%
5-1 @ 2.74%
4-2 @ 1.92%
6-0 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-1 @ 1.21%
5-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 77.97%
1-1 @ 6.59%
0-0 @ 3.33%
2-2 @ 3.26%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 13.99%
0-1 @ 2.48%
1-2 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 8.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Boavista 0-4 Braga
Monday, February 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Qarabag 2-3 Braga
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Farense
Sunday, February 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-4 Qarabag
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Sunday, February 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Moreirense
Sunday, February 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Chaves
Saturday, February 24 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, February 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 3-0 Portimonense
Friday, February 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-4 Benfica
Monday, January 29 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, January 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


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