The appointment of Santos has turned Casa Pia's fortunes around for the better and they will head into the weekend with renewed confidence. Despite their impressive display against Porto, Gil Vicente have struggled for consistency in recent weeks and we are tipping Casa Pia to come away with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Gil Vicente
35.02% ( 0.66)	27.29% ( 0.25)	37.7% ( -0.91)

Both teams to score 49.94% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.44% (

-0.9)

55.56% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.27% (

-0.74)

76.73% (

0.74)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.86% (

-0.02)

30.14% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.71% (

-0.02)

66.29% (

0.03)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.49% (

-0.95)

28.51% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.71% (

-1.21)

64.29% (

1.21)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 35.01%

Gil Vicente 37.69%

Draw 27.29%

Casa Pia	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.01%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.7% Total : 37.69%