SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
65.28% ( 0.58) | 20.12% ( 0.05) | 14.61% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 50.07% ( -1.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% ( -1.47) | 44.36% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.26% ( -1.45) | 66.73% ( 1.44) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.21% ( -0.28) | 12.79% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.91% ( -0.58) | 39.09% ( 0.58) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.41% ( -1.76) | 42.59% ( 1.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.05% ( -1.54) | 78.94% ( 1.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 2-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.59)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.19)5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.11% Total : 65.27% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.12% | 0-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.54% Total : 14.61% |
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