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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 5, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
WL

Brentford
1 - 1
Wolves

Maupay (41')
Damsgaard (27'), Roerslev (37'), Lewis-Potter (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Doyle (64')
Bueno (81'), Semedo (90+5')
Gomes (9')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-1 Brentford
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 3-0 Everton
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Brentford 1-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers

Brentford must cut out the defensive errors that have proven costly in recent weeks if they wish to claim a positive result against an in-form Wolves side, who will hope to deliver once again in the final third despite the absence of key man Hwang. A tighter affair could in store if both sides opt to make several changes, but the momentum is with a buoyant Wolves outfit nevertheless, and they should have enough strength in depth to outscore the Bees en route to booking their place in the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
BrentfordDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
50.04% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 23.54% (-0.164 -0.16) 26.43% (0.105 0.1)
Both teams to score 57.95% (0.658 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.74% (0.828 0.83)43.26% (-0.821 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.34% (0.81 0.81)65.66% (-0.80499999999999 -0.8)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.6% (0.33800000000001 0.34)17.4% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.18% (0.58499999999999 0.58)47.82% (-0.578 -0.58)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.16% (0.51600000000001 0.52)29.84% (-0.511 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.07% (0.617 0.62)65.93% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 50.04%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 26.43%
    Draw 23.53%
BrentfordDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.6%
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.38% (0.084 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 50.04%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.082 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 6.64% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.28% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 26.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-1 Brentford
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-4 Wolves
Wednesday, December 27 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Brentford
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Brentford
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Luton
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 3-0 Everton
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-4 Wolves
Wednesday, December 27 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 2-1 Chelsea
Sunday, December 24 at 1pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 3-0 Wolves
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Burnley
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.30pm in Premier League


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