SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Brentford |
37.93% ( 0.04) | 26.08% ( -0.01) | 35.99% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.47% ( 0.03) | 50.53% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.55% ( 0.03) | 72.45% ( -0.02) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.01% ( 0.04) | 25.99% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.98% ( 0.05) | 61.02% ( -0.05) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( -0) | 27.11% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.51% ( -0) | 62.49% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Brentford |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 37.93% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0)0-2 @ 6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.99% |
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