Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Everton |
36.31% ( 0.2) | 25.35% ( 0.05) | 38.34% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 56.48% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.71% ( -0.2) | 47.29% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.48% ( -0.19) | 69.51% ( 0.19) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.6% ( 0.02) | 25.4% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.8% ( 0.03) | 60.2% ( -0.03) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.71% ( -0.22) | 24.29% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.33% ( -0.31) | 58.67% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Everton |
1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 36.31% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.34% |
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