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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
N

Brest
0 - 0
Nice


Lees-Melou (45'), Camara (55'), Chardonnet (76')
FT

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 2-2 Brest
Sunday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Metz
Saturday, January 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-0 Nice

Both these sides come into this match carrying good form, but Brest's home record this season has been excellent, while Nice have been struggling on the road in recent weeks. The Eaglets are on a three-match losing streak in away games and were beaten by this opponent at this venue 1-0 last season. We feel that the hosts will be able to claim another slender victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawNice
40.06% (-0.163 -0.16) 27.51% (-0.038 -0.04) 32.42% (0.198 0.2)
Both teams to score 48.77% (0.172 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.19% (0.191 0.19)56.81% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.25% (0.151 0.15)77.74% (-0.154 -0.15)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (0.00099999999999767 0)63.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (0.23699999999999 0.24)32.49% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (0.267 0.27)69.02% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Brest 40.05%
    Nice 32.42%
    Draw 27.51%
BrestDrawNice
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.41% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.05%
1-1 @ 12.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.02% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSG 2-2 Brest
Sunday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Trelissac 1-2 Brest
Saturday, January 20 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-0 Angers
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 4-0 Lorient
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Brest
Sunday, December 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Metz
Saturday, January 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bordeaux 2-3 Nice
Saturday, January 20 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Nice
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Auxerre (4-2 pen.)
Saturday, January 6 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Nice 2-0 Lens
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Nice
Saturday, December 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1


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