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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 2, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
BL

Nice
2 - 1
Brest

Todibo (45'), Bard (61')
Rosario (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Honorat (90+1')
Mbock (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawBrest
48.63%25.07%26.3%
Both teams to score 52.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.01%49.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02%71.97%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42%20.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.89%53.11%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49%33.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.86%70.14%
Score Analysis
    Nice 48.63%
    Brest 26.3%
    Draw 25.06%
NiceDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 8.62%
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-0 @ 4.54%
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 48.63%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.89%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.54%
1-2 @ 6.52%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 26.3%

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