SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nice.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Brest |
54.76% ( 0.17) | 24.35% ( -0.08) | 20.89% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.94% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.9% ( 0.22) | 52.1% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.18% ( 0.19) | 73.82% ( -0.19) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.06% ( 0.15) | 18.93% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.55% ( 0.25) | 50.44% ( -0.25) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.37% ( 0.02) | 39.63% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.69% ( 0.02) | 76.31% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 54.75% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.36% Total : 20.89% |
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