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Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 20, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stade Matmut-Atlantique
N

Bordeaux
2 - 3
Nice

Livolant (59'), Weissbeck (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guessand (35'), Sanson (47' pen., 60')
Todibo (45'), Rosario (71'), Bulka (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Auxerre 3-1 Bordeaux
Monday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Nice
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Bordeaux 1-2 Nice

With the plethora of attacking talent on display here, we fully expect both teams to get themselves on the scoresheet. We are also tipping Nice to emerge triumphant, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
BordeauxDrawNice
41.37% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 26.28% (0.0030000000000001 0) 32.34% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 52.54% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.99% (0.011000000000003 0.01)52% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.26% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)73.74% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Bordeaux Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)24.83% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.58% (-0.052 -0.05)59.42% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (0.059000000000012 0.06)30.11% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (0.069000000000003 0.07)66.25% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bordeaux 41.37%
    Nice 32.34%
    Draw 26.28%
BordeauxDrawNice
1-0 @ 10.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.26% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 32.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Auxerre 3-1 Bordeaux
Monday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: L'Entente 1-1 Bordeaux (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Dunkerque 0-2 Bordeaux
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bordeaux 0-0 St Etienne
Saturday, December 16 at 2pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Quevilly 3-2 Bordeaux
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bordeaux 0-1 Troyes
Saturday, December 2 at 2pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Nice
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Auxerre (4-2 pen.)
Saturday, January 6 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Nice 2-0 Lens
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Nice
Saturday, December 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Reims
Sunday, December 10 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Nice
Saturday, December 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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