In the midst of a fine run of form, Brest certainly pose a major threat to Nantes, but the hosts have looked much-improved under new management and put up two impressive displays against high-flying opposition.
With home advantage, we fancy Gourvennec's men to take a creditable share of the spoils on Sunday.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
0.35) 
-0.14) 
