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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Dec 7, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
S

Brest
1 - 1
Strasbourg

Le Douaron (44')
Magnetti (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Emegha (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 3-0 Clermont
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-1 Strasbourg
Friday, December 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-1 Strasbourg

Brest have taken care of business against weaker opponents, but we believe Strasbourg are stronger than their current form might indicate. Vieira is a resourceful manager who is capable of turning around a bad situation, and we believe his players will adapt to his style soon, while continuing their strong play in Brittany. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 49.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BrestDrawStrasbourg
49.27% (-0.365 -0.37) 25.41% (0.121 0.12) 25.31% (0.24 0.24)
Both teams to score 50.86% (-0.145 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.88% (-0.302 -0.3)52.12% (0.297 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.16% (-0.261 -0.26)73.84% (0.25699999999999 0.26)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (-0.279 -0.28)21.17% (0.275 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (-0.433 -0.43)54.03% (0.428 0.43)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.52% (0.040999999999997 0.04)35.47% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.76% (0.039999999999999 0.04)72.23% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Brest 49.26%
    Strasbourg 25.31%
    Draw 25.41%
BrestDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 11.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.05% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 49.26%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.51% (0.088 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.101 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.16% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 25.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brest 3-0 Clermont
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Brest
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-0 Brest
Sunday, November 5 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-3 PSG
Sunday, October 29 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Brest
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Toulouse
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-1 Strasbourg
Friday, December 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Marseille
Saturday, November 25 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-0 Clermont
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, October 29 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 3-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Nantes
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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