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PL
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
S

PSG
3 - 0
Strasbourg

Mbappe (10' pen.), Soler (31'), Ruiz (77')
Kang-in (82'), Ndour (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Nantes
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Strasbourg

PSG have often struggled against weaker sides in Ligue 1 so far this season, but their dominant history over Strasbourg should continue here. Two defeats before the break may have dented confidence slightly for Vieira's men, and this remains the most daunting fixture in French football so a defeat is on the cards for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawStrasbourg
64.31% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 19.58%16.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)38.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.9% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)61.1% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)11.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.85% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)36.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.16% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)73.95% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 64.31%
    Strasbourg 16.11%
    Draw 19.58%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawStrasbourg
2-0 @ 9.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 64.31%
1-1 @ 9.11%
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.58%
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 4.19%
0-2 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 16.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rennes 1-3 PSG
Sunday, October 8 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Newcastle 4-1 PSG
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Clermont 0-0 PSG
Saturday, September 30 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 4-0 Marseille
Sunday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 2-0 Dortmund
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 2-3 Nice
Friday, September 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Nantes
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-1 Lens
Friday, September 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, September 24 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Montpellier
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, September 3 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Toulouse
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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