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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
CF

Brest
3 - 0
Clermont

Del Castillo (20' pen., 51'), Pereira Lage (34')
Locko (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Oumar Konate (19'), Zeffane (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Brest
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Clermont
Wednesday, November 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 2-0 Clermont

Fatigue could be a factor for the visitors, who will only have a few days to rest before this encounter, while missing two key players through suspension will not help. Brest have been a little more consistent and sharper in the attacking third than their weekend opponents, and we expect them to find a breakthrough and cruise from there. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawClermont
39.88% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33) 26.81% (0.669 0.67) 33.31% (-0.337 -0.34)
Both teams to score 51.14% (-2.217 -2.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.08% (-2.798 -2.8)53.92% (2.798 2.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (-2.4 -2.4)75.37% (2.4 2.4)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-1.458 -1.46)26.49% (1.458 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-1.977 -1.98)61.68% (1.978 1.98)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57% (-1.604 -1.6)30.43% (1.605 1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.37% (-1.95 -1.95)66.63% (1.952 1.95)
Score Analysis
    Brest 39.87%
    Clermont 33.31%
    Draw 26.81%
BrestDrawClermont
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.707 0.71)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.192 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.243 -0.24)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 39.87%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.845 0.85)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.32 -0.32)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.615 0.62)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.71% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.224 -0.22)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Brest
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-0 Brest
Sunday, November 5 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-3 PSG
Sunday, October 29 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Brest
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Toulouse
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Brest
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Clermont
Wednesday, November 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-3 Lens
Saturday, November 25 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-0 Lorient
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-0 Clermont
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-1 Nice
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-2 Clermont
Sunday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


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