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FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
WH

Bristol City
1 - 0
West Ham

Conway (3')
Williams (50'), Gardner-Hickman (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cresswell (64')
Benrahma (51')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 0-1 West Ham United

While calls from Hammers supporters for their side to strengthen their attacking ranks fall on deaf ears, the travelling supporters ought not to expect a scintillating offensive display from their side if both Paqueta and Bowen miss out as feared. However, Bristol City have produced several toothless attacking performances of their own in recent weeks, and despite their valiant effort in the capital, the Robins may fall victim to a West Ham defensive masterclass at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawWest Ham United
47.07% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 23.04% (0.0040000000000013 0) 29.88% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 62.44% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.46% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)38.54% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.16% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)60.83% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)16.72% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (-0.104 -0.1)25.02% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.3% (-0.142 -0.14)59.69% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 47.07%
    West Ham United 29.88%
    Draw 23.04%
Bristol CityDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 47.07%
1-1 @ 10.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.04%
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Preston 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Bristol City
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Millwall
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Bristol City
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-4 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 3-2 Hull City
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Bristol City
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: West Ham 0-0 Brighton
Tuesday, January 2 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 West Ham
Thursday, December 28 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Man Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 5-1 West Ham
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: West Ham 3-0 Wolves
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Premier League


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