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EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Anfield
WH

Liverpool
5 - 1
West Ham

Szoboszlai (28'), Jones (56', 84'), Gakpo (71'), Salah (82')
Nunez (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bowen (77')
Alvarez (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Man Utd
Sunday, December 17 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 3-0 Wolves
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 71.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 3-0 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawWest Ham United
71.3% (-0.89699999999999 -0.9) 16.26% (0.737 0.74) 12.45% (0.164 0.16)
Both teams to score 58.11% (-2.661 -2.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.99% (-3.419 -3.42)31.01% (3.424 3.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.61% (-4.17 -4.17)52.39% (4.173 4.17)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.32% (-0.98399999999999 -0.98)7.68% (0.988 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.6% (-2.597 -2.6)27.4% (2.601 2.6)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.95% (-2.186 -2.19)37.05% (2.191 2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.16% (-2.236 -2.24)73.84% (2.24 2.24)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 71.3%
    West Ham United 12.45%
    Draw 16.26%
LiverpoolDrawWest Ham United
2-0 @ 9.37% (0.842 0.84)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.316 0.32)
3-0 @ 8.02% (0.329 0.33)
3-1 @ 7.96% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-0 @ 7.31% (0.994 0.99)
4-0 @ 5.14% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 5.11% (-0.37 -0.37)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.317 -0.32)
5-0 @ 2.64% (-0.171 -0.17)
5-1 @ 2.62% (-0.341 -0.34)
4-2 @ 2.54% (-0.351 -0.35)
5-2 @ 1.3% (-0.26 -0.26)
6-0 @ 1.13% (-0.138 -0.14)
6-1 @ 1.12% (-0.214 -0.21)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 71.3%
1-1 @ 7.25% (0.602 0.6)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-0 @ 2.85% (0.512 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.192 -0.19)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 16.26%
1-2 @ 3.6% (0.096 0.1)
0-1 @ 2.83% (0.367 0.37)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 1.4% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 12.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Man Utd
Sunday, December 17 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Liverpool
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-2 Liverpool
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-3 Fulham
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 LASK
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: West Ham 3-0 Wolves
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Freiburg
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Fulham 5-0 West Ham
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 West Ham
Thursday, December 7 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Backa Topola 0-1 West Ham
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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