SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Hull City |
40.4% ( -0.19) | 25.25% ( 0.05) | 34.35% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.54% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.91% ( -0.21) | 47.09% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.67% ( -0.19) | 69.33% ( 0.19) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( -0.18) | 23.13% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43% ( -0.27) | 57% ( 0.27) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% ( -0.02) | 26.44% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% ( -0.02) | 61.61% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.4% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 34.35% |
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