SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Women win with a probability of 71.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 11.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-0 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
11.06% ( -0.02) | 17.12% ( 0.07) | 71.82% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.66% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.64% ( -0.38) | 39.37% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.3% ( -0.4) | 61.7% ( 0.4) |
| Bristol City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.97% ( -0.29) | 45.03% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.04% ( -0.23) | 80.96% ( 0.23) |
| Liverpool Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.34% ( -0.1) | 9.66% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.76% ( -0.25) | 32.24% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
| 1-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.39% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 11.06% | 1-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.88% Total : 17.12% | 0-2 @ 11.88% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 9.26% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 7.38% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4.31% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)0-6 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.74% Total : 71.81% |
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