SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 86.34%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 4.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 4-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.3%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-2 (1.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Bristol City Women |
86.34% ( -1.29) | 9.25% ( 0.74) | 4.41% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 46.67% ( 1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.96% ( -0.91) | 25.04% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.03% ( -1.19) | 44.96% ( 1.19) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.13% ( -0.34) | 3.86% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.56% ( -1.11) | 16.43% ( 1.1) |
| Bristol City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.54% ( 1.59) | 51.46% ( -1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.35% ( 1.03) | 85.65% ( -1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Bristol City Women |
| 3-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.36)1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.49)5-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.12)6-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.36)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.17)6-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.09)7-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.22)5-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)7-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.97% Total : 86.34% | 1-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.22)0-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.64% Total : 9.25% | 1-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.66% Total : 4.41% |
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