SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Norwich City |
44.22% ( -0.93) | 23.89% ( 0.37) | 31.88% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 60.48% ( -1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.42% ( -1.54) | 41.57% ( 1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.02% ( -1.57) | 63.97% ( 1.57) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.94% ( -1.01) | 19.05% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.36% ( -1.69) | 50.64% ( 1.68) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% ( -0.41) | 25.27% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.96% ( -0.57) | 60.03% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Norwich City |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.33% Total : 44.22% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.33)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.38)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.89% |
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