SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bromley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bromley | Draw | Altrincham |
44.03% ( -0.15) | 25.26% ( 0.07) | 30.7% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.18% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.72% ( -0.29) | 48.27% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.57% ( -0.27) | 70.42% ( 0.26) |
| Bromley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.09% ( -0.19) | 21.9% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.83% ( -0.29) | 55.16% ( 0.28) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( -0.1) | 29.34% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.67% ( -0.12) | 65.32% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bromley | Draw | Altrincham |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.7% |
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