SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
40.33% ( -0.44) | 23.83% ( 0.12) | 35.83% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 61.94% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.81% ( -0.56) | 40.18% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.44% ( -0.58) | 62.55% ( 0.57) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.81% ( -0.44) | 20.18% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.51% ( -0.7) | 52.48% ( 0.7) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% ( -0.09) | 22.39% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.09% ( -0.14) | 55.9% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.02% Total : 40.33% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 35.83% |
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