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National League | Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
OA

Altrincham
1 - 0
Oldham

Conn (40')
Donawa (65'), Hancox (84'), Conn (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kitching (31')
Coverage of the National League clash between Altrincham and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kidderminster 1-3 Altrincham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-3 Fylde
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.

Result
AltrinchamDrawOldham Athletic
40.33% (-0.436 -0.44) 23.83% (0.123 0.12) 35.83% (0.306 0.31)
Both teams to score 61.94% (-0.411 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.81% (-0.559 -0.56)40.18% (0.552 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.44% (-0.579 -0.58)62.55% (0.573 0.57)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81% (-0.438 -0.44)20.18% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.51% (-0.703 -0.7)52.48% (0.697 0.7)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (-0.092999999999989 -0.09)22.39% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.09% (-0.138 -0.14)55.9% (0.133 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 40.33%
    Oldham Athletic 35.83%
    Draw 23.83%
AltrinchamDrawOldham Athletic
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.088 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 40.33%
1-1 @ 10.82% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.52% (0.114 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.76% (0.154 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.102 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.04% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 35.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-3 Altrincham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 4-1 Wealdstone
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 2-3 Gateshead
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-1 Altrincham
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 6-1 York City
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 0-1 Woking
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-3 Fylde
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 0-0 Oldham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 2-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, March 16 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 2-0 Oldham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 0-0 Bromley
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-1 Southend
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League


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