SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Bromley | Draw | Carlisle United |
38.09% ( 0.54) | 25.62% ( 0.07) | 36.29% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 55.54% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.5% ( -0.34) | 48.5% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.37% ( -0.31) | 70.62% ( 0.31) |
| Bromley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% ( 0.14) | 24.97% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.38% ( 0.19) | 59.61% ( -0.19) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( -0.5) | 25.97% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39% ( -0.68) | 60.99% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bromley | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.09% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.36% Total : 36.29% |
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