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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%).
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
25.67% ( 0.72) | 24.58% ( 0.08) | 49.74% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.56% ( 0.23) | 48.43% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% ( 0.22) | 70.57% ( -0.22) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% ( 0.72) | 33.18% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.21% ( 0.79) | 69.78% ( -0.8) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( -0.23) | 19.5% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.62% ( -0.38) | 51.37% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.67% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 5.2% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 49.74% |
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