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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
WL

Carlisle
vs.
Wigan

 

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Blackpool 2-2 Wigan
Monday, October 28 at 8pm in League One

We say: Carlisle United 1-2 Wigan Athletic

Wigan have already enjoyed success at Brunton Park this season, and we think they will draw inspiration from that EFL Trophy victory to claim another win against a Carlisle side that have lost six of their last eight competitive matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 25.67% and a draw has a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 1-0 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.66%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawWigan Athletic
25.67% (0.717 0.72) 24.58% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 49.74% (-0.804 -0.8)
Both teams to score 53.79% (0.434 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (0.235 0.23)48.43% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (0.216 0.22)70.57% (-0.218 -0.22)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (0.72499999999999 0.72)33.18% (-0.729 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21% (0.794 0.79)69.78% (-0.797 -0.8)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)19.5% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.62% (-0.378 -0.38)51.37% (0.374 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 25.67%
    Wigan Athletic 49.74%
    Draw 24.57%
Carlisle UnitedDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.071 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.44% (0.144 0.14)
2-0 @ 3.94% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.37% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.45% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 25.67%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 9.54% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.65% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-3 @ 5.2% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.71% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.12% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.93% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 49.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 3-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Harrogate
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-0 Carlisle
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Wigan
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Colchester 0-0 Carlisle
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Blackpool 2-2 Wigan
Monday, October 28 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Mansfield
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Wigan
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Wigan
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Wigan
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 3-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One


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